October 30, 2017
A long shot initiative to turn California into three separate states has actually been making progress.
Golden State residents who support the effort will now be able to collect signatures in an attempt to allow the proposal on next year’s ballot, according to KABC.
The plan, led by billionaire venture capitalist Tim Draper, calls for breaking California into northern, southern and coastal states.
The northern state, aptly named Northern California, would include Sacramento and San Francisco. The coastal state of California would include Los Angeles, while Southern California would incorporate the cities of San Diego and Fresno.
California Secretary of State Alex Padilla announced last week the details of the ballot initiative.
KNTV reported that the proposal requires 365,880 valid signatures to be placed onto the Nov. 2018 ballot. Supporters have 180 days to circulate petitions and the signatures will have to be submitted to elections officials by not later than April 23, 2018.
If enough signatures are produced, the next step would be for a majority of California voters to approve the measure. A final decision would then be made by members of Congress.
All three hurdles make the proposal an unlikely endeavor.
Draper had pushed for a similar proposal back in 2014. He had previously called for California to be split into six states. That effort, however, failed.
Draper is again trying to split The Golden State up, suggesting that the economic and political diversity of the state has made it essentially ungovernable.
He believes dividing California — the country’s largest state by population and third largest by geographic size — into three separate governments would empower residents with more local control.
Opponents, however, say the proposal would be chaotic for California residents.
“Creating three new governments, three new legislatures, three new governors and then having to disrupt what we have as a state all our prison systems, our higher education systems, I think diversity is what makes California great and this would actually ruin it,” political analyst Steven Maviglio said in a statement.
“Well the wealth in the state is concentrated along the coast and the Inland Empire and Central Valley actually benefits from that because we are subsidizing their schools and providing them with tax moneys,” Maviglio continued.
“If they were left on their own which is part of this proposal, you’d see massive tax increases in the poorest parts of the state and I don’t think that helps anybody.”
This is the latest of several attempts over the state’s history. The state has been the subject of more than 220 proposals to divide it into multiple states since its admission to the United States in 1850. The 2014 one was a bit over the top.
According to an article written by KTLA’s Tracey Bloom on October 26, 2017, Southern California would be the most populous of the three states, with 13.9 million residents. Northern California would have 13.3 million residents, while California would have 12.3 million. The measure would require the governor to give formal notice of its approval to Congress by Jan. 1, 2019, and then give federal lawmakers 12 months to act upon the split.
In a November 2016 Forbes article on the folly of CalExit is a reminder that the “so-called successful” California economy is so delicately balanced that every disaster or wind of “social” order change has it tipping closer to bankruptcy. For instance, they wrote:
California officially has an unfunded pension liability of approximately $300 billion. Yet this is not a true reflection of the amount taxpayers are ultimately on the hook for, as it assumes unrealistic rates of return on pension investments. When accounting for more realistic rates of return, California’s unfunded pension liability is closer to $1 trillion. The national debt is approximately five times the size of the federal budget. California’s unfunded pension liability is nearly ten times the size of the state general fund. That’s just the unfunded pension liability; the state also has significant unfunded liabilities for retired government worker health benefits.
Democrats own all of California state government and their power structure is dependent upon public employee union cash and GOTV manpower. As a result, there is zero chance that the reforms necessary to rectify the state’s massive unfunded pension liability – such as moving government employees to defined contribution pension plans, and giving workers the freedom to choose whether to join and fund union political activities – has no chance of passing this legislature.
Let’s also not forget that all those “illegal aliens” and refugees as well as those currently living in or nearly in poverty there are costing a lot in tax dollars already.
While I can’t see a need for three states, I certainly do see a need for two. As I have mentioned before, Silicon Valley is basically running the state. What they want gets done and those who are Northern Californians or not in the tech industry are suffering. They have basically a Socialist type government at this point. What this Steven Maviglio (political analyst) is really worried about is how the isolation of the Silicon Valley would be affected by the change. A Northern California might do quite well. Silicon already wants an open southern border. I say give it to them…just protect the rest of the state from their idiocy.
Steven Maviglio in 1994 was in the Clinton administration Then he moved to California to work for Governor Davis and started his own public affairs and campaign firm in 2008. In other words, it sounds like to me that he went to California and found a cozy niche of like-minded liberals. So my putting much reliance on his take of the situation is negligible.
Taxes have already increased significantly in California. Housing costs and rentals is reaching a level where most can’t afford to live there. Add that to the shift Brown has made from conservative to staunch socialist agenda and there is a very distinct smell of political and economic decay. They may have a lot of revenue now but for how long.
Businesses looking to succeed aren’t staying. The conservatives who can have been leaving to find other states to live in. The population shift and strain on those remaining has almost assured there is fewer middle class. Even though the higher income who make up less than one percent are paying huge taxes, the poverty level population is constantly rising. At its current level and course without intervention, the state will eventually look more like Venezuela than a US state.
So go for a Northern and Southern California. Make sure Northern California is safe from the San Andreas Fault. Even build a wall along the border between the two.
At least that way those who are more level-headed have a voice in voting and decision-making themselves. Maybe they can afford to live and run successful businesses along with their vineyards and orchards.
Then let those wealthy movie moguls, druggies, other assorted deviants, and techies deal with their little depraved world. Split the congressional power of the state down to closer resemble that of other states. Then we all stand a better chance of passing more sensible laws with more balanced representation in the House of Representatives and the Electoral College.
Works for me.